Learning disabilities (health and wellbeing needs in South Tyneside)

Projected need and demand

Predicted Prevalence Rates [13]

Prevalence rates for people with a moderate and severe learning disability [13]

 

2021 (Estimate)

2030 (Projection)

Percentage increase from 2021 to 2030

Total population aged 18 and over predicted to have a learning disability

2688

2826

5%

Total population aged 65 and over predicted to have a learning disability

493

587

19%

Total population aged 18 and over predicted to have a moderate or severe learning disability

568

637

12%

Total population aged 65 and over predicted to have a moderate or severe learning disability

88

105

20%

 

This table indicates that the number of people with learning disabilities, including those with moderate to severe learning disabilities is predicted to increase, with a 5% increase for people with learning disabilities, and 12% increase for people with moderate to severe learning disabilities aged 18+. The largest increase for both learning disabilities and moderate to severe learning disabilities is for people aged 18 to 19. It is, therefore, imperative that services are aware of and adapt in accordance with future demand.